Why new products fail -- Why test marketing fails -- The origins of STM -- How the major STM systems compare -- Mathematical modeling marries STM : the discovery and litmus models -- Inputs for a simulated test marketing model -- Diagnostic tools to improve a marketing plan -- The first door to success : forecasting awareness -- How to find the best media weight and schedule -- Measuring the effects of DTC campaigns -- Toward marketing plan optimization -- From the back of an envelope to a marketing navigation station.