Future savvy : identifying trends to make better decisions, manage uncertainty, and profit from change
by
Gordon, Adam, 1964-
Title
:
Future savvy : identifying trends to make better decisions, manage uncertainty, and profit from change
Author
:
Gordon, Adam, 1964-
Personal Author
:
Gordon, Adam, 1964-
Publication Information
:
New York : American Management Association, c2009.
Physical Description
:
x, 294 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
Contents
:
Recognizing forecast intentions -- The quality of information : how good is the data? -- Bias traps : how and why interpretations are spun -- Zeitgeist and perception : how we can't escape our own mind -- The power of user utility : how consumers drive and block change -- Drivers, blockers, and trends -- The limits of quantitative forecasting -- A systems perspective in forecasting -- Alternative futures : how it's better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong -- Applying forecast filtering -- Questions to ask of any forecast.
Abstract
:
"Future Savvy gives you a battery of critical tests to apply to any forecast in order to assess its validity and its relevance to your business's strategic decisions." "The author synthesizes powerful analytical tools into a template that allows you to apply "forecast filtering," a systematic deconstruction that accounts for all possible sources of inconsistency, fallibility, or bias in any presentation of predictive information."--BOOK JACKET.
Subject Term
:
Business forecasting.
Strategic planning.
Industrial management.
| Library | Material Type | Item Barcode | Shelf Number | Copy |
|---|
| IIEMSA | General Books | 33168023670009 | 658.4012 G662F 2009 | 1 |