Decision analysis for management judgment

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Title:

Author:

Goodwin, Paul.

ISBN:

9780470861080

Personal Author:

Goodwin, Paul.

Edition:

3rd ed.

Publication Information:

Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, 2004.

Physical Description:

xiii, 477 p. ; 24 cm.

Contents:

Foreword / Lawrence D. Phillips -- Ch. 1. Introduction -- Ch. 2. How people make decisions involving multiple objectives -- Ch. 3. Decisions involving multiple objectives: SMART -- Ch. 4. Introduction to probability -- Ch. 5. Decision making under uncertainty -- Ch. 6. Decision trees and influence diagrams -- Ch. 7. Applying simulation to decision problems -- Ch. 8. Revising judgments in the light of new information -- Ch. 9. Biases in probability assessment -- Ch. 10. Methods for eliciting probabilities -- Ch. 11. Risk and uncertainty management -- Ch. 12. Decisions involving groups of individuals -- Ch. 13. Resource allocation and negotiation problems -- Ch. 14. Decision framing and cognitive inertia -- Ch. 15. Scenario planning: an alternative way of dealing with uncertainty -- Ch. 16. The analytic hierarchy process -- Ch. 17. Alternative decision-support systems.

Subject Term:

Decision making.

Added Author:

Wright, George, 1952-

Electronic Access:

Table of contents
Table of contents http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/wiley041/2003064171.html
Publisher description http://www.loc.gov/catdir/description/wiley041/2003064171.html
Contributor biographical information http://www.loc.gov/catdir/bios/wiley047/2003064171.html

Copies:

Available:*

Library	Material Type	Item Barcode	Shelf Number	Copy	Status
Searching... IIEMSA	General Books	33168023651652	658.403 G657D 2004	1	Searching... Unknown

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Summary

In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis plays a key role in helping managers gain a greater understanding of the situations they face. This updated classic offers unrivalled coverage of the problems associated with unaided managerial decision making and the methods designed to overcome them, all presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner. The Third Edition is extensively updated and reflects new developments such as 'fast and frugal heuristics' and "structured risk management". A new website will offer links, additional exercises and case studies, and downloadable Excel spreadsheets.