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1. 
Cover image for Thinking, fast and slow
by 
Kahneman, Daniel, 1934-
Format: 
Books
Publication Date 
2012 2011
Excerpt: 
pattern -- Rare events -- Risk policies -- Keeping score -- Reversals -- Frames and reality. pt. 5. Two
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2. 
Cover image for Fundamental uncertainly : rationality and plausible reasoning
by 
Scazzieri, Roberto.
Format: 
Books
Publication Date 
2011
Excerpt: 
reasoning when probabilities are non-measurable or unknown, and when the space of possible events is only
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3. 
Cover image for Heads up : how to anticipate business surprises and seize opportunities first
by 
McGee, Kenneth G.
Format: 
Books
Publication Date 
2004
Excerpt: 
justifying the right real time information -- Surprise event -- Suspected event -- Surmounted events
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